New York: solid fundamentals, new investment opportunities

New York combines a dynamic global economy, deep rental demand and a structurally constrained housing supply.

The recent repricing of real estate valuations, despite rising rents, opens new prospects for investors able to select their assets rigorously.

1.

An economic powerhouse that supports residential demand

Manhattan's growth rests on a concentration of high value-added activities, notably finance, professional services and technology. This momentum attracts companies, investment and talent, helping to support housing demand.

Manhattan is also a major employment hub for the entire metropolitan area. Its economic influence therefore benefits well-connected residential neighborhoods in Brooklyn, Queens and the other boroughs.

CUMULATIVE REAL GDP GROWTH IN MANHATTAN, 2015–24
France: +11.9% over the same period
+22.2%

Sources: US BEA; INSEE, national accounts.

Jobs located in Manhattan
For 1.66M residents
2.13M

Source: US Census Bureau · jobs 2023, population 2024.

Average annual household income in Manhattan
$194,116

Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey · ACS 2020–2024.

2.

A structurally constrained housing supply

Pressure on the New York rental market is intensifying: the shrinking number of available units increases competition among tenants, supports rent growth and reduces vacancy risk for owners.

This reflects a structural imbalance between supply and demand. In an already densely built city, where creating new housing remains complex and costly, scarce supply provides lasting support for rental income.

Manhattan rental inventory — year over year
−22.7%

Source: Miller Samuel, Manhattan Rental Market Report · September 2026.

3.

Repriced valuations, new opportunities

Rising interest rates have repriced residential buildings while rental fundamentals have remained solid. This divergence creates more attractive acquisition conditions for investors able to select assets at revised price levels.

−16%
FREE-MARKET BUILDING VALUATIONS
2017 peak → H1 2026
+48.7%
MANHATTAN MEDIAN RENT
Dec. 2017 → Sept. 2026

Sources: Ariel Property Advisors; Miller Samuel / Douglas Elliman.

CAP RATES MULTIFAMILY
2019 → H1 2026

The recent stabilization of cap rates improves visibility on valuations. In this new cycle, our strategy prioritizes the quality of rental income, acquisition discipline and operational value creation, without relying on future rate cuts.

4.

A deeply rental market

Unlike many US cities, renting in New York is a dominant and long-term way of living, including for long-established households.

This broadens the pool of potential tenants and fuels diversified residential demand that is less dependent on new arrivals. For investors, it contributes to market depth and the continuity of rental demand.

Share of renter households in NYC
vs 34.7% in the United States
67.3%

Source: NYU Furman Center; US Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2024.

5.

A tax framework suited to real estate investment

The US tax framework offers several mechanisms to optimize the taxation of real estate income and support long-term investment strategies.

27.5 years

1 — Tax depreciation of buildings

Residential rental buildings can generally be depreciated over 27.5 years. This deduction reduces taxable income without a corresponding cash outflow and may be supplemented, subject to conditions, by accelerated depreciation of certain components.

Source: IRS, Publication 527.

1031 exchange

2 — Deferral of capital gains tax

A 1031 exchange allows, subject to conditions, capital gains tax to be deferred when a property is sold and the proceeds are reinvested in another eligible asset. It thus facilitates the reinvestment of pre-tax capital.

Source: IRS, Like-Kind Exchanges.

France–US tax treaty

3 — A France–US tax treaty

The tax treaty between France and the United States governs the taxation of cross-border real estate income and capital gains and provides mechanisms to avoid double taxation.

Source: Légifrance, France–US tax treaty.

The actual tax treatment depends on the holding structure and each investor's individual situation.

6.

Exposure to a powerful economy

Investing in New York real estate provides exposure to one of the largest and most diversified economies in the world. US economic growth, per capita wealth and the depth of its labor market create a favorable environment for long-term investment.

vs $49,000 in France
US GDP per capita (2025)
$90,027

Source: World Bank, 2025.

vs 8.3% in France
US unemployment rate
4.1%

Source: national statistical sources, periods shown.

vs +1.1% in France
Real GDP growth (2024)
+2.8%

Source: BEA and INSEE, 2024.